The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Wednesday, December 19, 2018

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By Dan Bell

The NZDUSD opens at 0.6851 (mid-rate) this morning.

The NZD is the standout performer of the G10 currencies pushing higher after yesterday’s business confidence report produced a positive-negative. The NZD rose sharply after the ANZ business outlook survey for December improved markedly with a net 24.1% of firms surveyed expecting general business conditions to deteriorate in the coming 12 months versus 37.1% in November.

This morning’s Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction, the final auction of 2018, has seen the index record its second consecutive rise following on from seven falls in the index up till December. This morning’s result saw the overall index rise 1.7% with whole milk powder and skimmed milk powder indexes increasing by 0.3% and 3.4% respectively.

The USD along with US Treasury yields continue to slip lower ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC announcement. Following recent comments from several Fed governors investors are now expecting the Fed to revise lower its ‘dot plot’(quarterly interest rate projections).

US equity markets have turned positive ahead of tomorrow’s Fed announcement, currently up circa 1% as traders go bargain hunting following Friday and Mondays’ sharp falls.

Crude oils prices have tumbled again overnight with concerns over global growth and oversupply. At one point oil prices traded below $47 a barrel to a 15mth low.

Global equity markets are mixed, Dow +1.19%, S&P 500 +0.91%, FTSE -1.06%, DAX -0.29%, CAC -0.95%, Nikkei -1.82%, Shanghai -0.82%.

Gold prices have inched higher up 0.3% trading at  $1,248 an ounce. WTI Crude Oil prices are once again sharply lower, down 5.5% trading at $47.69 a barrel.

Current indicative rates:

NZDUSD0.68510.7%
NZDEUR 0.60230.5%
NZDGBP0.54150.4%
NZDJPY77.120.6%
NZDAUD0.95520.8%
NZDCAD0.92311.3%
GBPNZD1.8467-0.4%

Upcoming Data releases (NZST):

  • 13:00 Westpac Consumer Sentiment
  • 10:45 – Current Account

 

 

 

 

 

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Dan Bell is the senior currency strategist at xe money transfer in Auckland. You can contact him here »

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NZD

End of day UTC
Source: CoinDesk

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